Representatives from Ipsos, Instituto de Studios Peruvanos (IEP), the CBI and Datum agreed that there might even be a statistical link between the finalists.
They also highlighted the strength of the vote in favor of the rural teacher, which did not diminish despite the errors, limitations and attacks of the right-wing forces surrounding his rival, although it did grow to the detriment of Castillo’s advantage.
“The most important thing for analysis is Castillo’s hard vote,” said CBI chief Manuel Savetra, who said that although the candidate’s errors and shortcomings did not diminish, the errors did not affect him, adding that Fujimori was slowly advancing, but did not take support from his rival.
Alfredo Torres of Ipsos said Castillo was unable to use his early advantages because he was not ready to campaign, and said he was maintaining his high vote (approximately 45 percent, according to the latest opinion polls allowed) because of his image as a man from the city.
I.E.P. Patricia Juarez, an anti-communist strategist and supporter from the majority of the media campaigning against Castillo, gave Fujimori results, especially in Lima, the country’s main election plaza.
According to Datum’s director Urby Torado, dissatisfaction with the crisis caused by the Covit-19 epidemic means that Castillo was not affected by a single piece of cloth in support of his candidacy.
The expert estimated that it would be determined by those who were not rated, which he estimated to be 15 per cent, but neither of the two candidates would significantly lose support.
According to Savetra’s company measurements, the undecided pool was reduced to only two per cent, as they would distribute their preferences equally between the two candidates.
He said Castillo’s morality would retain his speech against the organization and that is why he had his hard votes.
In the case of Torado, the candidate used a series of promises and other factors, in addition to anti-communism, but the problem was that after participating in two electoral processes for the presidency and for his erratic behavior in managing a parliamentary majority from 2016 to 2018, ‘people did not trust him’.
Among the exhibitors, Torres talked about a final technical tie, and Savetra rated a result with a difference of almost one percent, and Patricia Juert said the final would be tight, but Castillo was the winner.
jf / mrs